Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
40.73% | 25.76% | 33.5% |
Both teams to score 54.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% | 49.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% | 71.56% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% | 24.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.67% | 58.32% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% | 28.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.18% | 63.81% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |