We said: Lyon 2-1 Bordeaux
Bordeaux's bid for survival has started to gather a bit of momentum in the past couple of weeks, and if Lyon's showing against West Ham is anything to go by, a shock triumph for Les Girondins cannot be ruled out.
Bosz's side rarely end up on the wrong end of a home scoreline in Ligue 1, though, and a refreshed set of attacking options should possess the necessary firepower to propel Les Gones to a confidence-boosting win, but it should not be the walk in the park that the table would suggest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 9.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.