Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille2 - 1Clermont
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Lille
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 2-0 Clermont
Even though they lost in midweek, we expect Marseille to maintain their solid domestic form against a side in Clermont who have been unable to do much besides stay back and try to frustrate the opposition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Clermont |
65.58% ( 1.45) | 20.19% ( -0.77) | 14.23% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
