Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 11, 2023 at 8.45pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
0 - 2
Marseille

Magnin (35'), Cham (43'), Wieteska (44'), Allevinah (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sanchez (44' pen., 81')
Balerdi (25'), Under (26'), Sanchez (68'), Under (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, February 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PSG
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Clermont 0-1 Marseille

When Mohamed Bayo joined Lille during the summer transfer window, it left a massive void in the Clermont attack, one that they have yet to fill. Meanwhile, Marseille have been one of the most formidable defensive units in Ligue 1 to break down all season, and we do not believe they will have much difficulty containing a Clermont squad lacking in quality and creativity. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Marseille
12.8% ( -0.05)	20.31% ( -0.01)	66.88% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.65% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

-0.07)

49.04% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.06)

71.12% (

0.06)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.77% (

-0.13)

48.22% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.6% (

-0.09)

83.39% (

0.09)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

-0.01)

13.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.95% (

-0.01)

41.04% (

Score Analysis

Clermont 12.8%

Marseille 66.87%

Draw 20.31%

Clermont	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 4.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.8%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.31%	0-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 13.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 66.87%