Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 0Lyon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 3-1 Lyon
Lyon's winless run in Ligue 1 could continue against a Marseille side currently playing at a higher level and with a strong record at the Velodrome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
57.42% ( 0.02) | 22% ( -0.01) | 20.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
