Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
57.42% (![]() | 22% (![]() | 20.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.38% (![]() | 42.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.98% (![]() | 65.02% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% (![]() | 14.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.29% (![]() | 42.7% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% (![]() | 34.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% | 71.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 10.31% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 5.48% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |