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Strasbourg
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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
PSG logo

Marseille
0 - 3
PSG

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mbappe (25', 55'), Messi (29')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi score landmark goals as Paris Saint-Germain thump Marseille 3-0 in Le Classique at the Orange Velodrome.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Marseille in Le Classique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
34.69% (0.22 0.22) 23.77% (-0.032 -0.03) 41.54% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (0.204 0.2)40.1% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.211 0.21)62.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.214 0.21)22.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.319 0.32)56.75% (-0.32 -0.32)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.0020000000000095 0)19.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 34.69%
    Paris Saint-Germain 41.54%
    Draw 23.77%
MarseilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.69%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 41.54%

How you voted: Marseille vs PSG

Marseille
48.0%
Draw
12.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
40.0%
225
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2023 8.10pm
Round of 16
Marseille
2-1
PSG
Sanchez (31' pen.), Malinovskyi (57')
Guendouzi (48'), Mbemba (49')
Ramos (45+2')
Mendes (64')
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
PSG
2-1
Marseille
Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2021 8pm
Marseille
0-2
PSG

Gueye (49')
Payet (90+1')
Mbappe (9'), Icardi (24')
Paredes (45+1'), Icardi (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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