Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.