Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.56% | 19.64% | 64.79% |
Both teams to score 54.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.77% | 40.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.4% | 62.6% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% | 38.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% | 75.48% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.31% | 11.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.22% | 36.77% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 4.37% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2% Total : 15.56% | 1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.69% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.64% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 7.08% 0-4 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-5 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |