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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
France national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Stade de France
Croatia national football team

France
vs.
Croatia

Coverage of the Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between France and Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Last Game: Italy 1-3 France
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Croatia vs. France
Wednesday, March 19 at 11pm in Nations League
Current League A2 Standings P GD PTS
1France6613
2Italy6513
3Belgium6-34
4Israel6-84

Croatia

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Croatia vs. France
Wednesday, March 19 at 11pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 23.18% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Croatia win is 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result
FranceDrawCroatia
54.18%22.64%23.18%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71%42.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31%64.68%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44%15.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49%44.5%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6%68.4%
Score Analysis
    France 54.18%
    Croatia 23.18%
    Draw 22.63%
FranceDrawCroatia
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.18%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 23.18%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2025
11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Croatia  
C
vs.
F
   France
Jun 13, 2022 7.45pm
League A
France
0-1
Croatia

Guendouzi (18'), Pavard (62'), Rabiot (67')
Modric (5' pen.)
Brozovic (50')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Croatia
1-1
France
Kramaric (83' pen.)
Vida (21')
Rabiot (52')
Kimpembe (85')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Croatia
1-2
France
Vlasic (64')
Vlasic (5'), Uremovic (57'), Lovren (90+2')
Griezmann (8'), Mbappe (79')
Digne (5'), Pogba (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
League A
France
4-2
Croatia
Griezmann (43'), Livakovic (45+1' og.), Upamecano (65'), Giroud (77' pen.)
Lenglet (38'), Kante (59'), N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (68')
Lovren (17'), Brekalo (55')
Caleta-Car (34'), Brozovic (76'), Lovren (76')
> Preview
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