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Ligue 1
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Nantes

Metz
3 - 1
Nantes

Van Den Kerkhof (3'), Elisor (28'), Asoro (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simon (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 2-2 Nantes

 Both sets of players will be hoping for a positive result before the two-week international break and are likely to go all out for the victory in this one. With two of the worst defences in the league on display in this match, a fair bit of goalmouth action at both ends can be expected here, but we feel that these sides will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawNantes
44.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 27.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.164 -0.16)56.58% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (-0.131 -0.13)77.56% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.117 -0.12)25.07% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.162 -0.16)59.75% (0.158 0.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)35.66% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (-0.061 -0.06)72.43% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Metz 44.96%
    Nantes 28%
    Draw 27.03%
MetzDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28%

How you voted: Metz vs Nantes

Metz
20.0%
Draw
36.7%
Nantes
43.3%
30
Head to Head
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Nantes
Amadou (59')
Pajot (86')
Cyprien (40'), Traore (51')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
2-0
Metz
Kolo (12'), Blas (49')
Blas (53'), Coco (90')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
2-0
Nantes
Leya Iseka (35'), Boulaya (90+3')
Goncalves (29'), Sarr (85'), Boulaya (89')

Coco (66'), Girotto (90')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
1-1
Metz
Kolo (29')
Abeid (41'), Da Silva (45+4')
Leya Iseka (45+4' pen.)
Fofana (71'), Oukidja (85'), Boye (87')
> Preview
Feb 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Nantes
0-0
Metz
Udol (57')
Boulaya (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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