Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Nantes |
44.96% (![]() | 27.03% (![]() | 28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.41% (![]() | 56.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% (![]() | 77.56% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% (![]() | 59.75% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% (![]() | 35.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% (![]() | 72.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.36% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |