Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.