MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 14:25:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lens logo

Troyes
1 - 1
Lens

Larouci (50')
Balde (24'), Chavalerin (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomasson (88')
Danso (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 5-1 Troyes
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Troyes 1-3 Lens

Lens may not have a prolific scoring side, but there are plenty of holes in the Troyes defence that Kisnorbo needs to sort out, and given the consistency and defensive strength of the visitors, we expect they will be able to find the back of the net a few times and keep the pressure on PSG at the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawLens
17.08% (0.178 0.18) 22.44% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 60.47% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (0.12 0.12)49.67% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (0.107 0.11)71.68% (-0.108 -0.11)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.47% (0.292 0.29)42.53% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.11% (0.249 0.25)78.89% (-0.249 -0.25)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.67% (-0.061 -0.06)45.32% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 17.08%
    Lens 60.46%
    Draw 22.44%
TroyesDrawLens
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.3% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.08%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 12.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 11.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.98% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.97%
0-4 @ 3.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 60.46%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lens

Troyes
9.3%
Draw
14.0%
Lens
76.7%
43
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 8pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Danso (39')
Poreba (40')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Troyes
1-3
Lens
Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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