Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for FC Chambly had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a FC Chambly win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.