Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Caen had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.