Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.38% (![]() | 21.65% (![]() | 19.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% (![]() | 41.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% (![]() | 64.25% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.95% (![]() | 14.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.38% (![]() | 41.62% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% (![]() | 34.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.57% (![]() | 71.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.36% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |