Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Haile-Selassie (19'), Harriel (47' og.)
Herbers (66'), Gimenez (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gazdag (62' pen.), Carranza (64')
Curtin (0'), Gazdag (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late, but Chicago's home record suggests that Sunday's contest is far from a foregone conclusion. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Philadelphia Union
43.28% ( 1.76)	27.07% ( -0.29)	29.65% ( -1.47)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44% (

0.56)

56% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.91% (

0.46)

77.09% (

-0.45)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

1.18)

25.65% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44% (

1.58)

60.56% (

-1.58)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

-0.78)

34.07% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

-0.85)

70.76% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 43.28%

Philadelphia Union 29.65%

Draw 27.07%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.65%