Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | -12 | 16 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 16 | -8 | 14 |
10 | DC United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 10 | 29 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 5 | 26 |
3 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
48.28% ( -0.17) | 26.47% ( 0.08) | 25.24% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.82% ( -0.24) | 56.18% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.76% ( -0.2) | 77.24% ( 0.2) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.18) | 23.31% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( -0.27) | 57.25% ( 0.27) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.24% ( -0.06) | 37.76% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.46% ( -0.06) | 74.54% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |