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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Navarro (68')
Teran (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia have drawn at lot of games in recent weeks and have also drawn their last two encounters with Chicago, but last weekend's victory over NYCFC should give them plenty of confidence to claim maximum points on Thursday. The current league leaders will be firm favourites to beat the lowest ranked MLS side and they should have no problems in securing a routine win on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
48.28% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.47% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 25.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (-0.245 -0.24)56.18% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (-0.197 -0.2)77.24% (0.2 0.2)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-0.182 -0.18)23.31% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.265 -0.27)57.25% (0.266 0.27)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.24% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)37.76% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)74.54% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 48.28%
    Philadelphia Union 25.24%
    Draw 26.47%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia

Chicago Fire
9.5%
Draw
23.8%
Philadelphia Union
66.7%
42
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-1
Chicago Fire
Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')
Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Philadelphia
P-P
Chicago Fire
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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