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Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
Chicago Fire

NY City
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Martinez (15', 22')
Gray (50'), Freese (90+3'), Parks (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cuypers (78'), Gutierrez (90+4' pen.)
Gimenez (65'), Navarro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

The Pigeons should have gained massive confidence from their Leagues Cup performances, while the Fire still seem to be searching for their true identity, so we expect a comfortable victory for the Boys in Blue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
62.68% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 19.64%17.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.13% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.76% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)33.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 62.68%
    Chicago Fire 17.68%
    Draw 19.64%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22%
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 62.68%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.64%
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 17.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Chicago Fire
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City
Omsberg (25'), Acosta (45'), Koutsias (80'), Pineda (84')
Haak (21'), Sands (60')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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