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Barnet
National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
Torquay United

Barnet
1 - 0
Torquay Utd

Armstrong (9')
Hall (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodwin (13'), Lapslie (44'), Hanson (59'), Ellis (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Barnet and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Barnet 3-0 Torquay United

Barnet are looking good to finish this season in the playoffs and a home assignment against Torquay seems like the perfect game to win convincingly in front of the home faithful. United have been conceding at an alarming rate over the past month and need to address those defensive issues in order to give themselves a chance of staying in the National League this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
BarnetDrawTorquay United
49.65%23.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79%17.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (0.0010000000000048 0)29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 49.65%
    Torquay United 26.92%
    Draw 23.43%
BarnetDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 26.92%

How you voted: Barnet vs Torquay Utd

Barnet
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Torquay United
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-2
Barnet
Lemonheigh-Evans (8', 27')
Duke-McKenna (45+3')
Marriott (37'), Mason-Clark (60')
Marshall (13'), De Havilland (45'), Grego-Cox (57'), Richards-Everton (73'), Howe (89'), Oxborough (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Barnet
2-1
Torquay Utd
Marriott (42'), Mason-Clark (65' pen.)
Woods (46'), Marriott (58'), Mason-Clark (82'), Oxborough (90+3')
Little (59')
Ali (64'), MacDonald (83')
May 22, 2021 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-2
Barnet
Andrews (13'), Lemonheigh-Evans (23')
Hall (26'), Lewis (40')
Petrasso (37' pen.), Kefalas (54')
Richards-Everton (45'), Vaughan (77')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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