Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Torquay United |
49.65% | 23.42% ( -0) | 26.92% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.63% ( 0) | 42.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.23% ( 0) | 64.77% ( -0.01) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.79% | 17.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% ( 0) | 47.48% ( -0) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% ( 0) | 29% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% ( 0) | 64.9% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Torquay United |
2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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