National League | Gameweek 19

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
1 - 5
Chesterfield

De Silva (30')
De Silva (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grimes (8'), Oldaker (49'), Clements (57'), Uchegbulam (77'), Tshimanga (87')
Mandeville (45'), Oldaker (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Dorking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Chesterfield
20.29% ( 0.55)	21.24% ( 0.4)	58.46% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.47% (

-1.06)

39.52% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.12% (

-1.11)

61.87% (

1.11)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

-0.08)

33.04% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

-0.08)

69.63% (

0.08)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.73% (

-0.62)

13.27% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.93% (

-1.26)

40.06% (

1.26)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 20.29%

Chesterfield 58.46%

Draw 21.24%

Torquay United	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.29%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.37% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.46%