National League | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Torquay Utd1 - 5Chesterfield
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grimes (8'), Oldaker (49'), Clements (57'), Uchegbulam (77'), Tshimanga (87')
Mandeville (45'), Oldaker (80')
Mandeville (45'), Oldaker (80')
Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Chesterfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Dorking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Chesterfield |
20.29% ( 0.55) | 21.24% ( 0.4) | 58.46% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
