Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
71.26% ( -0.22) | 16.24% ( 0.11) | 12.5% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.25% ( -0.28) | 30.75% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.91% ( -0.33) | 52.09% ( 0.32) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.37% ( -0.12) | 7.63% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.74% ( -0.29) | 27.25% ( 0.28) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% ( -0.03) | 36.79% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.42% ( -0.03) | 73.57% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.26% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.24% | 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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