Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.04% ( -2.13) | 24.48% ( -0.2) | 39.48% ( 2.33) |
Both teams to score 59.57% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% ( 0.85) | 43.28% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( 0.83) | 65.68% ( -0.83) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% ( -0.74) | 23.7% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% ( -1.08) | 57.82% ( 1.08) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( 1.57) | 21.92% ( -1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.8% ( 2.32) | 55.2% ( -2.32) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.1% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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