Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.