Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
65.14% ( 0.55) | 18.8% ( -0.09) | 16.06% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.82% ( -0.45) | 35.18% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.81% ( -0.51) | 57.19% ( 0.51) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.85% ( 0) | 10.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.63% ( 0.01) | 33.37% ( -0.01) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% ( -0.81) | 34.97% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.28% ( -0.86) | 71.72% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.17% Total : 65.14% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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