Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
51.67% ( -0.41) | 22.93% ( 0.16) | 25.41% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 59.06% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.66% ( -0.52) | 41.35% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.26% ( -0.53) | 63.74% ( 0.53) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0.33) | 16.1% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% ( -0.61) | 45.5% ( 0.61) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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