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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Gateshead

Sutton
0 - 1
Gateshead


Vaz (38'), Harris (78'), Barbrook (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hannant (53' pen.)
Newton (61'), Oseni (88'), Hannant (90+3'), Booty (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Sutton United and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead
Saturday, October 19 at 3.05pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Gateshead

Both teams are in difficult periods heading into this match, however, the visitors will be encouraged by the positive result in their first game under new manager Magnay, which we believe will help them secure a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGateshead
31.78% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.83% (0.125 0.13) 44.39% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.64% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65% (-0.79 -0.79)41.35% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (-0.807 -0.81)63.75% (0.811 0.81)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-0.678 -0.68)25.23% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.943 -0.94)59.98% (0.947 0.95)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.164 -0.16)18.89% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (-0.277 -0.28)50.37% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.78%
    Gateshead 44.39%
    Draw 23.83%
Sutton UnitedDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.39%

How you voted: Sutton vs Gateshead

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Gateshead
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 48
Sutton
4-2
Gateshead
Kearney (51'), Dobson (63' pen.), Beckwith (86', 90')
Dobson (32'), Kearney (45')
Olley (44', 46')
Hunter (14'), Tinkler (45'), Barrow (62')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Gateshead
0-0
Sutton
Tinkler (90'), Molyneux (90')
Beckwith (90'), Clough (90')
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Sutton
1-1
Gateshead
Walton (27' pen.)
Johnson (15' pen.)
Fyfield (54'), Penn (59'), Hanford (95')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Sutton
3-0
Gateshead
Deacon (42'), Biamou (60', 83')
Eastmond (28'), Cadogan (81')

Hannant (35'), Hanford (41'), Fyfield (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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