Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for York City has a probability of 24.5% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | York City |
51.48% ( 0.06) | 24.02% ( -0.02) | 24.5% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( 0.07) | 47.04% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.71% ( 0.06) | 69.29% ( -0.06) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( 0.05) | 18.28% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( 0.08) | 49.34% ( -0.07) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( 0.01) | 33.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( 0.01) | 70.04% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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