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National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Scunthorpe United

York City
0 - 0
Scunthorpe


Fallowfield (23'), Ellis (58')
FT

Rance (7'), Thompson (26'), Richards-Everton (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: York City 1-0 Scunthorpe United

Scunthorpe will be reeling after their thumping by Notts County on Saturday and home advantage combined with the goalscoring prowess of John-Lewis and Forde may just give York the edge in this basement battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
46.86% (2.475 2.48) 24.86% (-0.146 -0.15) 28.28% (-2.331 -2.33)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.592 -0.59)47.79% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.547 -0.55)69.97% (0.544 0.54)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.846 0.85)20.44% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (1.329 1.33)52.89% (-1.331 -1.33)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.945 -1.94)30.81% (1.944 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-2.353 -2.35)67.08% (2.351 2.35)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.86%
    Scunthorpe United 28.28%
    Draw 24.86%
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 10% (0.492 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.584 0.58)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.86%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Scunthorpe
1-1
York City
Apter (88')
Nuttall (45+1')
John-Lewis (23' pen.)
May 3, 2014 3pm
Oct 29, 2013 7.45pm
York City
4-1
Scunthorpe
Carson (7'), Fletcher (12'), Brobbel (20', 40')
Whitehouse (26')
Winnall (47')
Syers (27'), Dawson (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165


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