Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
