MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 16:55:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
4 - 0
Carrick

McGovern (33'), Dillon (38'), Mitchell (70'), Boyd (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Forsythe (16')
Crowe (39')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
55.41% (-0.363 -0.36) 22.07% (0.07 0.07) 22.51% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)62.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.52% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46% (-0.205 -0.2)42.54% (0.207 0.21)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.274 0.27)31.52% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.316 0.32)67.91% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 55.41%
    Carrick Rangers 22.51%
    Draw 22.07%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 22.51%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Galvin (13'), Dillon (17', 22')
Maguire (90+1'), Dunne (90+6')
Cherry (52'), Purkis (62')
Stewart (84')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Purkis (45+4'), Cushley (61' pen.)
Cushley (44'), Cherry (63')
Forsythe (82')
Bigirimana (70')
Hegarty (45+1'), Scott (47'), Dunne (60'), Taggart (85')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Dungannon
2-3
Carrick
Curry (14'), Marron (82')
Galvin (33'), Owens (51'), Marron (73')
Allen (51' pen.), Macuilaitis (60', 66')
Glendinning (33'), Cushley (34'), Forsythe (57'), Macuilaitis (90+3')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Marron (16' og.), Cushley (90' pen.)
Cushley (28'), Crowe (63')
Moore (32')
Glenny (10'), Lusty (78'), Devine (89')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
2-0
Dungannon
Cushley (21' pen., 75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield31224556233370
2GlentoranGlentoran29156835251051
3LarneLarne29147835241149
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon30144124136546
5CrusadersCrusaders31144133942-346
6PortadownPortadown31136123836245
7ColeraineColeraine30128104538744
8CliftonvilleCliftonville29126113932742
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena30124143738-140
10GlenavonGlenavon30108123237-538
11Carrick RangersCarrick3158182447-2323
12Loughgall3135232669-4314


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