Coleraine

3 - 1

Carrick

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.