MX23RW : Friday, November 22 22:00:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park
Larne

Glenavon
0 - 4
Larne


Garrett (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bonis (47', 48', 56'), Sloan (65')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-0 Larne
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawLarne
22.79% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 52.05% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.014999999999997 0.01)74.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (0.065999999999995 0.07)38.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.062999999999999 0.06)75.15% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)52.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 22.79%
    Larne 52.04%
    Draw 25.16%
GlenavonDrawLarne
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.79%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.04%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Larne
3-0
Glenavon
Millar (14', 41'), Bonis (74')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Glenavon
0-1
Larne
Ward (80' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Glenavon
1-2
Larne
Glynn (40')
Campbell (30'), (82')
Birney (64'), Malone (77')
O'Neill (33'), Doherty (90+7' pen.)
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Larne
1-1
Glenavon
Bonis (3')
Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
3-2
Glenavon
Doherty (2'), Hughes (15'), McDaid (35')
Randall (47')
Campbell (21'), Wallace (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
4Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
6ColeraineColeraine177462822625
7PortadownPortadown167452317625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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