NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon0 - 4Larne
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Larne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-0 Larne
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Glenavon | Draw | Larne |
22.79% ( 0.06) | 25.16% ( 0.01) | 52.05% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.73% ( 0.02) | 53.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.01) | 74.82% ( -0.02) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.6% ( 0.07) | 38.4% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.85% ( 0.06) | 75.15% ( -0.06) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( -0.02) | 20.47% ( 0.02) |