Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
INEA stadion
Lech Poznan4 - 1Puszcza Niepolomice
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Puszcza Niepolomice.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, September 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Puszcza Niepolomice |
67.88% ( 0.03) | 19.18% ( -0) | 12.94% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
