MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 22:44:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 3
Legia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Augustyniak (2'), Pankov (4'), Pesqueira (64' pen.)
Elitim (81')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, November 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Legia
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warsaw
36.01% (0.908 0.91) 26.3% (0.188 0.19) 37.68% (-1.098 -1.1)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.734 -0.73)51.46% (0.734 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.644 -0.64)73.27% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.19200000000001 0.19)27.53% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (0.247 0.25)63.05% (-0.247 -0.25)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.95 -0.95)26.57% (0.95 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-1.276 -1.28)61.78% (1.277 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 36.01%
    Legia Warsaw 37.68%
    Draw 26.29%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.323 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.24 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.68%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan108112051525
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia107031716121
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow10622134920
4KS CracoviaCracovia96121712519
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin105141613316
6Widzew Lodz104421311216
7Legia WarsawLegia104331711615
8Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice10433109115
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik103341313012
10Katowice103341213-112
11Motor Lublin10334812-412
12Zaglebie Lubin10325714-711
13Radomiak Radom93061416-29
14Lechia GdanskGdansk102351219-79
15Korona Kielce10235816-89
16Puszcza Niepolomice101541013-38
17Stal Mielec821559-47
18Slask Wroclaw8044713-64


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