Aston Villa U21s3 - 1Derby U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 6 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
50.05% ( -0.36) | 20.03% ( 0.07) | 29.92% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 74.07% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
