Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.