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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Brighton
4 - 1
Crystal Palace

Dunk (3'), Hinshelwood (33'), Buonanotte (34'), Pedro (85')
De Zerbi (7'), Welbeck (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mateta (71')
Guehi (16'), Franca (59'), Munoz (62')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion pile the pressure on Roy Hodgson with a 4-1 drubbing of M23 derby rivals Crystal Palace in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 4-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrystal Palace
72.34% (0.881 0.88) 16.42% (-0.292 -0.29) 11.25% (-0.591 -0.59)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (-0.276 -0.28)35.3% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.68% (-0.307 -0.31)57.32% (0.304 0.3)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.49% (0.125 0.13)8.51% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.51% (0.309 0.31)29.48% (-0.312 -0.31)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (-1.186 -1.19)41.95% (1.183 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-1.048 -1.05)78.39% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 72.33%
    Crystal Palace 11.25%
    Draw 16.42%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrystal Palace
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.9% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.204 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.76% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.7% (0.116 0.12)
5-1 @ 2.35% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 72.33%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.42%
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 11.25%

How you voted: Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion
53.8%
Draw
25.8%
Crystal Palace
20.3%
182
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Andersen (87' og.)
Gallagher (69')
Eze (44'), Hughes (61')
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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