Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.