Liverpool

3 - 1

Burnley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 82.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.