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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Brighton logo

Man City
vs.
Brighton

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Man City
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 24.52% and a draw has a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.47%).

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
55.01% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 20.47% (0.096 0.1) 24.52% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 67.13% (-0.426 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.63% (-0.527 -0.53)30.36% (0.528 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.37% (-0.634 -0.63)51.63% (0.637 0.64)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.181 -0.18)11.29% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.09% (-0.402 -0.4)35.91% (0.405 0.41)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)24.33% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (-0.46 -0.46)58.72% (0.464 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 55.01%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 24.52%
    Draw 20.47%
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.097 0.1)
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.75% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 2.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 55.01%
1-1 @ 8.47% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.52%

Who will win Saturday's Premier League clash between Man City and Brighton?

Manchester City
Draw
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton
2-1
Man City
Pedro (78'), O'Riley (83')
Ayari (19'), Julio (44'), Paul van Hecke (90+10')
Haaland (23')
Lewis (37'), Simpson-Pussey (77'), Haaland (90+10')
Apr 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Brighton
0-4
Man City

Veltman (35'), Balepa (76')
De Bruyne (17'), Foden (26', 34'), Alvarez (62')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Man City
2-1
Brighton
Alvarez (7'), Haaland (19')
Rodri (38'), Akanji (63'), Grealish (84')
Akanji (90+5')
Fati (73')
March (36'), Julio (64')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Brighton
1-1
Man City
Enciso (38')
Veltman (89'), Paul van Hecke (90+1')
Foden (25')
Silva (41'), Guardiola (83')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Man City
3-1
Brighton
Braut Haaland (22', 43' pen.), De Bruyne (75')
Trossard (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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