Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.