Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.