Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Chaves 1-2 Arouca
With just two points separating Chaves and Arouca in the league table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides taking the game to each other. However, Arouca head into the weekend as the more in-form side and we predict that they will come away with a slender victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Arouca |
49.87% ( 1.06) | 25.38% ( -0.25) | 24.75% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
