Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.85% (![]() | 21.49% (![]() | 62.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.15% (![]() | 47.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.97% (![]() | 70.03% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.98% (![]() | 43.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.69% (![]() | 79.31% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% (![]() | 14.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.16% (![]() | 42.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.33% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.85% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 12.11% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.62% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 62.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |