Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.85% ( 0.03) | 21.49% ( -0) | 62.66% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.15% ( 0.05) | 47.85% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.97% ( 0.05) | 70.03% ( -0.05) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.98% ( 0.07) | 43.02% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.69% ( 0.06) | 79.31% ( -0.06) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% ( 0.01) | 14.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.16% ( 0.02) | 42.84% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.85% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 62.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
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