Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
39.19% | 30.01% | 30.8% |
Both teams to score 41.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.44% | 65.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.72% | 84.28% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% | 69.15% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% | 38.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.86% | 75.14% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 7.86% 2-1 @ 7.53% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.51% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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