Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga3 - 1Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Mafra
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Braga 2-1 Estoril Praia
Braga put in a huge effort to earn a point off Union Berlin on Wednesday, but the hosts should be able to rotate their side to good effect on Sunday. Estoril are enjoying a slight upturn in form but have been largely unconvincing on the road this term, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
65.57% ( -1.16) | 18.88% ( 0.3) | 15.55% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
