Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
24.06% ( 0.09) | 23.65% ( 0.06) | 52.29% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% ( -0.16) | 45.86% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% ( -0.15) | 68.17% ( 0.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( -0) | 33.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( -0) | 69.74% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.12) | 17.53% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% ( -0.2) | 48.05% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.06% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |