Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
27.14% ( -0.57) | 27.17% ( -0.04) | 45.7% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.47% ( -0.15) | 57.53% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% ( -0.12) | 78.32% ( 0.12) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.12% ( -0.54) | 36.88% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.33% ( -0.55) | 73.67% ( 0.55) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( 0.23) | 25.13% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% ( 0.32) | 59.84% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.14% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |