Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril3 - 0Santa Clara
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 2-0 Santa Clara
With two sides who are totally devoid of confidence squaring off, something is bound to give, and we see the hosts having too much for the Primeira Liga's struggling basement side on Sunday and scoring a victory to take a major step towards confirming their safety. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Santa Clara |
48.55% ( 0.43) | 26.64% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
