Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Cadiz (17', 66')
Aguirregabiria (60'), Luis Rodriguez (90'), de Haas (90+5'), Topic (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yakubu (14' pen.)
Graca (43'), Tanlongo (77'), Silva (80'), Boateng (90+5'), Aderlan (90+6'), Sa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Famalicao 1-1 Rio Ave

Historically, matches between these sides are generally very level contests, and there is little to suggest that we should expect anything different in this match. This will likely be a tight and tactical encounter, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Rio Ave
49.83% ( -0.19)	25.73% ( 0.08)	24.44% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

-0.21)

54.01% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

-0.17)

75.45% (

0.17)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

-0.17)

21.71% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

-0.25)

54.86% (

0.25)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

-0.02)

37.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.94% (

-0.02)

74.06% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 49.82%

Rio Ave 24.44%

Draw 25.73%

Famalicao	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.82%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.44%