Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 26, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 1
Tondela

Banza (67'), Carlos Teixeira (74')
Banza (53'), Pickel (55'), Cadiz (87'), Junior (90+9'), Dolcek (90+19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

dos Anjos (90+2')
Undabarrena (47'), Hernando (61'), Sagnan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Famalicao 2-0 Tondela

After a sloppy start to the season, Famalicao have turned things around in the past two weeks and will be looking to maintain this form. They face an out-of-sorts Tondela side who have lost each of their last three games and we fancy the Vila Nova will pick up their third successive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Tondela
58.46%	23.64%	17.91%

Both teams to score 46.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91%

53.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33%

74.67%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08%

17.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27%

48.73%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.46%

43.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.26%

79.74%

Score Analysis

Famalicao 58.45%

Tondela 17.91%

Draw 23.63%

Famalicao	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.5% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.45%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.91%